Compiled List of New Renewable Energy Sources
In the report “The Long-Term Energy Efficiency Potential”, ACEEE projects three scenarios. Reference Case is business as usual, Advanced Scenario includes penetration of know advanced technologies, and Phenix Scenario includes greater infrastructure improvement and aggressive displacement of existing building stock.
Under Advanced Scenario, residential and commercial demand will reduce by 49% and 36% respectively. Under Phenix Scenario, 61% and 48% respectively. I used 3 billion MWh, 75% of total consumption, half residential and half commercial as base, applied % of reduction to each sector. Reduction appears to be lower, which might be because I have not included other possible reductions from industrial sector.
If we follow Advanced Scenario, we can eliminate coal, natural gas and reduce nuclear. If we follow Phenix scenario, we can eliminate coal, natural gas and nuclear, plus some surplus.
Million MWh Advanced Scenario Phenix Scenario
2012 2030-2035 2030-2035
Coal 1,517 37% 0 0
Natural Gas 1,231 30% 0 0
Nuclear 769 19% 769 0
Hydropower 276 7% 276 276
Petroleum 23 1% 0 0
Other Gases 11 < 1% 0 0
Other Renewable 219 5% 1191 2628
Biomass 58 1.42% 203 4
Geothermal 17 0.41% 68 284
Solar 4 0.11% 120 390
Wind 140 3.46% 800 1950
Total Generated 4046 2236 2904
Demand Reduction 0 1276 1636
Total required 4046 2770 2410
Difference -534 494
need to come from nuclear?
surplus?Back Next
